Tuesday, November 06, 2007
Latest legislative alert now available
here.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 12:51 AM|
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Monday, November 05, 2007
"Evita" does not go over in Prince William, VA
Re: Mark Krikorian's "Political Culture Clash" item in NRO's "The Corner" this AM.
A 2006 Pew Hispanic Center survey included the question: “Do you think the recent immigrant marches this spring had a positive effect on the way the American public thinks about illegal or undocumented immigrants, a negative effect or no effect? The overall result was 52 percent chose “positive,” 24 percent chose “negative” and 16 percent chose “no effect.”
However, foreign-born, first generation, Spanish dominant Hispanics were joyously reliving politics Latin American style, while native born, more assimilated Hispanics were generally unimpressed with demonstrations straight out of Evita (3:00 minute mark):
Among native-born Mexicans, for example, only 45% thought the marches had a positive effect on the way the rest of the American public thinks about illegal or undocumented immigrants, compared with 63% among foreign-born Mexicans.
Similarly, only 48% of third-generation Hispanics viewed the marches as a positive, compared with 60% among first generation Latinos.
Among those who were English dominant, 32% said the marches had a positive effect on the way Americans viewed undocumented immigrants, compared with 64% among those who were Spanish dominant.
One might add that a native born Hispanic is generally an American citizen who can vote in our elections. Perhaps elected officials conclude that marchers carrying protest signs written in Spanish may not even be in the United States on Election Day, let alone in a Prince William county voting booth?
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:05 PM|
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Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Naughty, naughty Huckabee
The more people learn about Huckabee's strident opposition to defending America's borders, the less they like him.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 5:29 AM|
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Saturday, October 13, 2007
"Now I'm a Believer"
God will be asked this Sunday to weigh in on the state children’s health insurance program, as members of various faith groups plan to pray for an override of President Bush’s veto of the measure.
The call to prayer by the PICO National Network of religious organizations is aimed at generating at least 10,000 calls to 35 targeted members of Congress who voted against the bill (HR 976) but might still be convinced to support an override attempt Oct. 18.
“We’re praying that our elected officials find the courage to put aside politics and do right by our children,” reads a flier that will be distributed Oct. 14 to parishioners in congregations participating in the event.
These people must be reading the Bible story of the Good Samaritan as amended by Karl Marx:
"A man was going down from Jerusalem to Jericho, when he fell into the hands of robbers. They stripped him of his clothes, beat him and went away, leaving him half dead. ... But a Samaritan, as he traveled, came where the man was; and when he saw him, he took pity on him"
So the Samaritan called his Congressman and demanded a tax increase on the wealthy to pay for national health care. He then went on his way, knowing he had done his part for social justice. Because of his self-righteous advocacy on behalf of the needy, at no personal cost to himself, he became known as the Good Samaritan.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 9:47 AM|
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Tuesday, August 21, 2007
Oh, That Darn Mel Martinez
Have you visited stopmartinez.com yet?
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 7:00 PM|
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Understanding the "Hispanic Vote"
Hillary's pollster speaks:
There are 10 million Protestant Hispanics in the U.S. today. 90 percent of them adhere to a variant of Pentecostalism. It was this subgroup of Latinos who helped George W. Bush increase his margin among Hispanics in 2004 -- "the percentage of Bush voters among Hispanic Catholics remained exactly the same." Penn's own surveys suggest that Protestant Latinos are largely values voters; Catholic Latinos are much more likely to respond to economic issues.
Conclusion: religion matters more than national origin.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:55 PM|
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Saturday, August 11, 2007
Thoughts on Today's Iowa Straw Poll (Results and Analysis)
Results via Marc Ambinder (& NRO):
14,203 ballots were cast.
WIN: Gov Mitt Romney won the 2007 Ames straw poll, receiving 4516 votes, or 31%.
PLACE: Gov. Mike Huckabee finished second with 2587 votes at 18.1%
SHOW: Sen. Sam Brownback with 2192 votes and 15.3%
Tom Tancredo with 1961 votes, 13.7%
Ron Paul with 1305 votes, and 9.1%
Tommy Thompson, 1,009 votes, 7.3%
Fred Thompson with 231 votes, 1.4%
Rudy Giuliani with 183 votes, 1.3%
Duncan Hunter with 174 votes, 1.2%
John McCain with 101 votes, .7%.
John Cox with 41 votes, .3%
Three Thoughts
(1) The GOP base has not grown to love amnesty more.
McCain was well known as an amnesty supporter and foe of official English. He finished 10th.
Brownback has been both for and against amnesty, sometimes on the very same day Brownback also voted against official English in 2006. Even though Brownback could (and did) play the "fellow farmer" card in nearby Iowa, he barely beat Tom Tancredo for third place.
(2)Romney, Huckabee big winners today.
Rudy Giuliani may be leading in polls, but he is not loved by GOP activists. People traveled 100s of miles to help Ron Paul(see below). It seems they are barely willing to cross the street to vote for Giuliani.
Huckabee has essentially been running for vice-president since day one. Then-frontrunners McCain or Giuliani as GOP standard bearer would feel a need to send a "signal" to Christian conservatives, such as nominating a Baptist minister like Huckabee for Vice President.
Tom Tancredo's speech seemed rushed while Tommy Thompson's did not. This is the difference between a conservative activist turned politician (Tancredo) and a traditional politician. Tancredo needs to cut his material about 10% to allow more time to let it sink in. Otherwise, Tancredo's speech this afternoon was what he should have been doing from the beginning: focusing on immigration.
Iowa was the best hope for Ron Paul's anti-war message. In the past, Midwest states like Iowa has been more hospitable to doves/isolationists than other places.
Ron Paul supporters dominated the "Democrats" lines on C-SPAN (and the Republican lines too) before and after the straw poll. This is less helpful than Paul backers may think.
"Support the troops -- bring them home" (actual Ron Paul banner in Ames, Iowa today) is read by most Republican activists as "I agree with Hollywood. Let's lose the war." Paul's speech in Ames today was far more traditional GOP than his remarks during the previous debates I have seen. Less pacifism and more spending cuts are a recipe for GOP voters to give Ron Paul a second look.
Mitt Romney won when he was expected to do so. That is harder than it looks, especially in a caucus or straw poll. Lots of Republicans tell me that only Rudy Giuliani is tough enough to beat Hillary. Romney showed some needed toughness of his own today. Former Massachusetts Governor Romney is also likely to win neighboring New Hampshire's primary in January, meaning if Romney can win the Iowa caucus in December, everybody else would go into South Carolina's primary desperate for a win.
Even though there is talk Fred Thompson will enter the GOP race in September, I would be surprised to see him run now given today's results. Thompson is essentially Romney only with less executive experience. Had McCain won Iowa, there would be a reason for a new conservative in the race: conservative front-runner Romney had failed to slay the McCain dragon. But Romney did not fail.
(3) Ryan Sager on Ron Paul's 5th place showing:
Just got to the Ames Straw Poll after many mishaps... The first thing a visitor notices: the Ron Paul presence. I predicted he'd come in 7th in the poll.
But the first thing you see when you get here is countless Ron Paul signs and Ron Paul workers. There' a giant Ron Paul sign right out front. Mitt Romney's got nothing on this guy... Now, I stand by my prediction ? heck, I stand by all of them until the vote comes down. I think most of these folks are from out-of-state, and thus can't vote. But I'll report back when I've had some time to walk around.
Well, I think I answered my Ron Paul question after battling the sun for about an hour... Out of staters, overwhelmingly. I went to talk to the five Ron Paul folks holding a big poster outside the entrance. 0-5. Not one from Iowa. They'd driven in from Kansas City, Missouri. One woman was from New Jersey.
I asked another guy holding a sign on the way in: Huntsville, Alabama.
I asked three more RP folks: Out of town.
I asked two more: Out of town.
I asked four more: Out of town.
I'd been told some Iowa Ron Paul supporters were holed up at his tent, so I headed over...
I asked three folks sitting and eating Ron Paul's food: Nope.
I approached another man: Finally, a guy from Iowa!
Oops... I ask him why he's supporting Ron Paul: "I don't know anything about him."
Oh well, maybe he was about to be converted.
Now, let me be clear: None of this means there are no Iowans supporting Ron Paul at the Straw Poll today. We'll know the exact number of them around 7:00 p.m. And, obviously, other candidates have lots of supporters in from out of state. But unless he places in the top four, there's a huge gap between the national activist showing and the ability to deliver votes in a geographically contained area ? once again proving that the Ron Paul phenomenon is a small group of people posting a lot of blog comments and swarming online polls.
Labels: 2008 candidates
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 10:37 PM|
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Thursday, July 05, 2007
Amnesty advocates sure are in a big hurry
Walter Shapiro's Salon article, Hitting a Wall on Immigration," captures the frenzy on the pro-amensty side of the debate:
[E]arly indications suggest that the Democrats are likely to gain a few Senate seats in the upcoming elections. Would not a more liberal [immigration] bill emerge in 2009 if there were a Democratic president and a somewhat more sympathetic Congress?
Janet Murguía, the president of the National Council of La Raza, makes the case against waiting until after the presidential election. "Our worry and our concern is that a new president would not see immigration as a top priority," she says. "It will be a very polarizing and difficult issue. And the fight isn't going to get any easier as we go along. I would think that any presidential candidate -- whatever his or her public position on the issue -- would really hope that the whole thing would be solved in this Congress."
Tamar Jacoby, a senior fellow at the right-of-center Manhattan Institute and a zealous advocate of immigration reform, offers a similar assessment. "The chances of getting a bill in 2009 are risky at best," she says. "They don't take up health-care reform, they don't take up Social Security every year. And the votes probably won't be there unless you suddenly have 60 Democratic senators." Jacoby also raised the specter of an anti-immigrant backlash: "The economy could go sour, we could have a terrorist attack. Who knows?"
Perhaps this explains why it was "rush, rush, rush" on the Senate's amnesty bill, a bill of several hundred pages of legalese rewritten four times, including twice within the 12 hours prior to its most recent cloture vote.
There is an old saying, "marry in haste, repent at leisure." If an amnesty is ever enacted, it would be MORE permanent than all too many marriages. If the economy went sour or there was a terrorist attack after amnesty became law, amnesty could hardly be revoked.Labels: [E]
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 3:50 PM|
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Richardson: people must "go to church" to receive amnesty
On June 22nd, New Mexico's Governor Bill Richardson was speaking to a group of Iowans at the opening of his new headquarters, a program reaired by C-SPAN just now.
Asked about what would be required of illegal immigrations to be allowed to stay, Richardson gave the usual list: pay a fine, learn English (etc.) plus a new item, "go to church."
ACLU-types fear not: the fine is a maximum and the English requirements kick in after eight years, so the nonexistent "church going" requirement is unlikely to be enforced even if it did exist.
This is another example of why people have no trust in immigration reform bills. We are told lots of things that just aren't so.
Richardson also claimed, falsely, that people's neighbors would have to vouch for their civic commitment.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 3:38 PM|
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Monday, July 02, 2007
"I thought we'd put this behind us for the sake of party unity"
is a sentence conservative Repulbicans have gotten used to hearing after moderate Republicans win. On immigration, the shoe is on the other foot. Yet Mel Martinez is busy pouring gasoline onto an immigration debate:
The Chairman of the Republican Party on Friday lambasted Democrats and Republicans who helped kill an immigration bill in the Senate and challenged them to come up with a solution beyond ``just build a fence along the border.''
``The voices of negativity now have a responsibility to come up with an answer,'' RNC Chairman and U.S. Senator Mel Martinez, R-Fla. said.
``How will you fix the situation to make peoples' lives better? How will you continue to grow the economy? How will we bring people out of the shadows for our national security and for the sake of being a country that is just?'' he demanded.
There is another possible fix to the Martinez problem, reports Michelle Malkin: Recall Mel is now online.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 12:26 AM|
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Thursday, June 28, 2007
Victory! Senate rejects cloture on amnesty, 46 to 53.
Because of your calls, letters, e-mails and faxes, today the U.S. Senate failed to stop debate on the amnesty bill by a vote of 46 to 53.
Despite all the pressure from the White House and the pro-amnesty, anti-English news media, amnesty backers could not even muster a majority of the Senate for their bad bill.
You made them listen.
I must tell you that Senate Majority Reid announced the issue will come back. If I were Reid, a Democratic Party leader, I would bring up amnesty again simply because the issue bitterly divides Republicans.
Still, I would rather be in our position today than Reid's.
Great, great job. Thank you for everything that you did, often on such short notice.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 12:08 PM|
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Pork in the amnesty bill
says RedState.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 5:00 AM|
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Your calls to Republican Leader Mitch McConnell seem to be working
McConnell has made himself scarce during much of this week's immigration debate, much to the chagrin of the "grand bargainers":
The bill's bipartisan supporters, who include liberals such as Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., and conservatives such as Jon Kyl, R-Ariz., said they would push hard to survive Thursday's vote. But they were frustrated by the lack of enthusiasm shown by many in the president's party.
Some noted the virtual absence throughout Wednesday's floor debate of Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., who has declined to say how he would vote on the measure.
McConnell left GOP colleagues including Arlen Specter, R-Pa., to contend with the Vitter-DeMint-Sessions group, while Democrats were represented in the chamber most of the day by Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada.
McConnell is smart, tough and knows the Senate rules. His absence helps the anti-amnesty cause more than some may realize.
McConnell is setting a good example for other Republican Senators who have given their word to the White House and thus feel they cannot be part of the solution regarding amnesty. As much as possible, don't be part of the problem.
Note to Senator Brownback. This means you. Being absent is almost as good as voting "no" when it comes to cloture.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 4:38 AM|
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How to unify Senate Republicans?
Via subscription only Congressional Quarterly tonight:
Asked what issue might help Senate Republicans show more unity, Chambliss was blunt: “Anything but immigration.”
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 4:17 AM|
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The status of the immigration bill plus "clay pigeon" explained
Because the Baucus amendment was not tabled yesterday afternoon, none of the other 20 or so amendments that remain in the Reid "clay pigeon" motion can be debated unless cloture is invoked or unanimous consent is granted.
The next cloture vote is scheduled for 10:30 AM this morning. It looks close.
Do your two Senators know you want them to oppose cloture? Let them know.
"Clay pigeon" explained
Via subscription-only Congressional Quarterly:
If a component is tabled — at least 50 votes needed, with 99 senators voting — it’s killed. If a component is not tabled, senators cannot dispense with it without unanimous consent. At the end of the 30 hours of post-cloture debate, senators likely will use up or down votes on any components not tabled.
The senators’ proposals included in Reid’s clay pigeon amendment and the order of consideration are:
Kay Bailey Hutchison, R-Texas Require illegal immigrants to return home after receiving probationary visa and before receiving Z visa, which would put illegal immigrants now in the country on a path to citizenship. Tabled on Wednesday, 53-45.
Jim Webb, D-Va. Limit Z visas to those who have been in the country at least four years and can demonstrate ties to their communities. Tabled on Wednesday, 79-18.
Christopher S. Bond, R-Mo. Prohibit green cards for Z visa holders. Under the bill, Z visa holders would put illegal immigrants now in the country on a path to citizenship. Tabled on Wednesday, 56-41.
Christopher J. Dodd, D-Conn. Increase the number of family parent visas. Tabled on Wednesday, 56-41.
Jon Kyl, R-Ariz. Allow additional green cards for parents of U.S. citizens if the 87,000 cap on green cards for spouses and mi- nor children of lawful permanent residents is not met. The increase would be the difference between the cap and the actual number issued. Withdrawn.
Robert Menendez, D-N.J. Increase family points in merit-based immigration system. Tabled on Wednesday, 55-40.
Max Baucus, D-Mont. Strike all references in the legislation to requirements for issuing secure driver’s licenses and identification cards under the REAL ID Act (PL 109-13). Tabling motion failed Wednesday, 45-52.
Charles E. Grassley, R-Iowa New Title III (employee verification system). Would still require that all new employees be verified; however, it would only require current employees to be checked if there is evidence to suspect unlawful employment.
Pete V. Domenici, R-N.M. Increase the number of federal judgeships in districts experiencing heavy immigration caseloads.
Saxby Chambliss, R-Ga. Require congressional approval of all Social Security “totalization” agreements, which allow workers to divide their work between more than one country and withhold payment of taxes. Under current law, the agreements take effect if neither the House nor the Senate object within 60 days of submittal by the president.
Lindsey Graham, R-S.C. Broadly defined enforcement amendment that includes strict penalties for those who overstay visas, including deportation and a lifetime ban on re-entering the country, with some waivers for those who can prove excep- tional circumstances such as a hospital stay. Also requires that heads of household for all illegal immigrant fami- lies wishing to receive Z visas return to their country of origin first, and within three years of the bill’s enactment.
Claire McCaskill, D-Mo. Increase penalties for employers who repeatedly hire illegal immigrants, banning them from receiving federal
contracts for no less than five years, up from a maximum of two years.
Maria Cantwell, D-Wash. Increase the number of H-1B visas issued each year.
Norm Coleman, R-Minn. Allow officials of federal, state or local government entities to question individuals about their immigration status if the officials have probable cause to believe the individuals lack legal status.
Robert C. Byrd, D-W.Va. Require that illegal immigrants pay a supplemental fee of $500, on top of other fees and fines in the legislation, to fund border security and enforcement.
John Thune, R-S.D. Deny probationary benefits to the current illegal population until the bill’s series of border security and enforcement triggers are met.
Bernard Sanders, I-Vt. Employers would have to certify they had conducted no mass layoffs before qualifying to hire foreign workers.
Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn. [Codifies] an oath of allegiance for naturalization.
Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio Ban employers from hiring guest workers for a year if they fail to post positions with state employment agencies.
Carl Levin, D-Mich. Provide refugee-related protection for Iraqi religious minorities.
Johnny Isakson, R-Ga. Prohibit states and localities from requiring businesses to build day labor shelters.
Charles E. Schumer, D-N.Y. Require tamper-proof biometric Social Security cards.
John Ensign, R-Nev. Bar credit for Social Security for work done as undocumented immigrant.
Patrick J. Leahy, D-Vt. Provide refugee-related protection to persecuted scholars.
Lindsey Graham, R-S.C Direct Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to report to Congress on the number of temporary workers who ignore order to return home when visas expire, and to reduce the number of temporary workers for the next year by that number. Also would provide for information sharing between DHS and state and local law enforcement, and reimburse those agencies for detaining and transferring illegal immigrants to federal authorities.
Barbara Boxer, D-Calif. Reduce Y guest-worker visa cap by the number of workers overstaying their visas.
Manager’s amendment A broad array of mostly technical and non-contentious changes.
Now you know as much as most staff do regarding the situation on the Senate floor, post-Baucus.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 4:01 AM|
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Pre-cloture vote thoughts (June 28th).
The Wall Street Journal is not amused. Via "Beleaguered Immigration Bill Faces Do-or-Die Vote" (June 28th).
House Republicans hurt the president's cause this week by passing a party resolution disapproving of the Senate bill. The sour Senate mood was captured by Sen. Pete Domenici (R., N.M.), who had voted with the president Tuesday to call up the bill, but said he would oppose the cloture motion to limit debate this morning.
"This bill is toast," he said in an interview. "This bill will never become law, and consequently I don't see why I should continue down this path. It's not going to pass the House ever. So we're never going to get a bill. So why go through this torture?"
A supermajority of 60 votes is needed to invoke cloture, and the administration's high-water point Tuesday was 64. A loss of five votes would be fatal, and apart from Mr. Domenici, Sens. Christopher Bond (R., Mo.) and Richard Burr (R., N.C.) are expected to now oppose cloture, and Sen. Judd Gregg (R., N.H.) remained uncommitted.
Among Democrats, Sens. Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Jim Webb of Virginia are moving toward the "no" column. Also, Sens. Robert Menendez of New Jersey and Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico, more-liberal labor Democrats, were up in the air because of family and labor provisions in the bill.
Historical Note: Domenici has consistently voted against official English, dating back to the early 1980s.
Political Note: The Democrats have another presidential debate scheduled for tonight. Does anyone thing that Hillary, Obama, Biden and Dodd really want to continue debating this wildly unpopular bill?
Prediction: all four Democrats will vote for cloture later this morning , but claim that they were only voting to continue debate on a bill about which they still have grave misgivings (an approach adopted earlier this week by Senator Judd Gregg (R-New Hampshire) "I will vote to proceed, but I think it is very undecided now if the bill will pass").
Reid's Real Role?
I remain convinced that, given the choice, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nevada) wants an issue for his party in 2008, not a signing ceremony in 2007. He wants to kill the bill (for now), but do so in a way that leaves only Republican fingerprints.
Reid's heavy-handed use of unprecedented tactics to deny most Senators any say whatsoever in the bill was bound to create a backlash, even among Senators otherwise likely to be supportive of the legislation.
One last thing, if cloture fails on the immigration bill this morning and Reid pulls the bill from the floor, the bill can return whenever Reid deems the time to be ripe. No legislative victory is ever final until Congress adjourns at the end of its second session.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 3:14 AM|
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Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Source: the next Senate vote is on cloture
That vote will take place sometime tomorrow, June 28th.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 7:28 PM|
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The "clay pigeon" may have just been shot down
June 27th 6:15 PM: One of the 27 amendments to the Senate immigration bill (S.1639) that was part of the Reid "clay pigeon" amendment just survived a motion to table. This may, repeat, may have been a major defeat for Senator Reid's plan to force cloture on the bill tomorrow (Thursday, June 28th) and a final vote on Friday (June 29th).
It has been my understanding that under Senate rules, the failure to table any one of the 27 amendments would force a two-day delay in the entire process.
Details to follow as soon as I have them.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:17 PM|
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Latest alert on the Senate immigration bill
is now online here (June 27th).
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:15 PM|
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Tuesday, June 26, 2007
Coburn and Vitter Rock!
Senators Tom Coburn (R-OK) and David Vitter (R-LA) forced a word for word reading of the 300 page amendment on the Senate floor until Harry Reid agreed to give other Senators tonight to actually read the entire document before being asked to cast votes on it.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:30 PM|
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Attention, John McCain. Corrupt campaign contribution pending in the U.S. Senate.
The people of Montana really hate Real ID. Senator Max Baucus (D., Montana) is up for reelection in 2008.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nevada) is expected to allow a Baucus amendment "to strike all references to REAL ID" in the immigration bill as one of the mere 24 amendments Reid has decided he will allow.
Baucus gets to look like a hero back home as he stands up for the people of Montana. Such advertising cannot be bought, but Reid seeks the power to grant it as he alone sees fit.
That is what the clay pigeon amendment being considered today means for the Senate and it is the reason that Senate Republicans, no matter what their feelings on immigration, need to block it.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 2:25 PM|
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Well done.
Given that the White House, a minority of Senate Republicans and nearly all Senate Democrats were all foresquare for the amnesty bill, the wonder is not that we lost the morning but that we managed to get so close.
What is not generally known is that the White House had some special influence upon certain key Republican Senators:
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Kentucky) Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell's wife, Elaine Chao, serves the Bush Administration's Secretary of Labor. McConnell is up for reelection in 2008.
Senator Ted Stevens (Alaska) His son,and likely successor, is under FBI investigation. His Senate aides are being interviewed too.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 1:18 PM|
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64 to 35
Cloture passes. Republicans voting for cloture after voting against it or not voting (Brownback) last time: Bennett (Utah), Bond (Missouri), Brownback (Kansas), Burr (North Carolina), Coleman (Minnesota), Collins (Maine), Domenici (New Mexico), Ensign (Nevada), Gregg (New Hampshire), Lott (Mississippi), McConnell (Kentucky), Murkowski (Alaska), Snowe (Maine), Stevens (Alaska), and Warner (Virginia).
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 1:06 PM|
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Will the UN run US immigration policy?
"Borderline Insanity,", National Review Online (June 26, 2007).
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 1:05 PM|
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Monday, June 25, 2007
A field guide to the Senate re: immigration
While there are two parties in the Senate, there are several factions on immigration. A field guide:
"Immigration policy as social work" donkeys and RINOs
There are Senators who basically see our immigration policy as social work on an international scale. For these people, it is morally superior for the United States to admit an unskilled illiterate than a winner of the Nobel Prize.
"Immigration policy as a business partnership" elephants
Senators deal as equals with the heads of large corporations. After all, some Senators were themselves once the heads of large corporations. In addition, all large corporations need friends in Washington, D.C.
The heads of large corporations are as eager to meet with Senators as a Congressman generally is to meet with those same corporate leaders. When it comes to bacon, the average Congressman can bring home a few rashers, but any Senator can send over a truckload.
Over time, some Senators come to identify with these captains of industry. Accordingly, if "my friend" at Microsoft needs more H1-B visa holders, "I want to help him out." (This is also why budgetary "pork" always seems to involve things like a new parking lot for a modern art museum or a new road to a golf course.)
"Peer group shift" chameleons
A Senator who does not meet with constituents during a recess is considered "being a Senator." A Congressman who does not meet with constituents during that seem recess is considered a snob. Accordingly, most Senators seldom rub elbows with ordinary folks in the way that Congressmen must.
The people with whom Senators do meet are exceedingly deferential, 24 hours per day, seven days per week. Were St. Francis of Assisi to serve in the U.S. Senate, he could end up a raging egomaniac.
It is easy to go from "I am thankful to be in Washington" to "my constituents should be grateful I am here." Since Senators run only once every six years, it is easy to forget the home folks. That is what staff is for.
"Fool some of the people some of the time" weasels
Senator Judd Gregg (R-New Hampshire) loathes the immigration bill and the paper upon which it is printed. He announced he will demonstrate his utter disgust with this abominable legislation by voting for cloture on Tuesday. Gregg added," I think it is very undecided now if the bill will pass." Yet if Gregg voted against cloture on Tuesday, the anti-amnesty side would need only 41 votes to defeat the immigration bill, instead of a majority later on.
I rhetorically said to an Oklahoma friend tonight, "Do these politicians think we are stupid?" Her response: "yes, they do."
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 11:30 PM|
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Last-minute thoughts (continued)
The other side keeps their eye on the ball: Conference Committee
Even the best amendments will not matter if they are (1) dropped in conference committee or (2) never enforced.
The other side knows these things are true.
They will accept any bill that can get through the Senate because the House-Senate conference is the real ball game where final decisions will be made:
"It would be a huge blow, an enormous bill, if this [pick an amendment] happens," said Cecilia Munoz, vice president for policy at the National Council for La Raza, the largest Latino rights group.
But Munoz and members of other immigrant rights groups said they will still support the bill's passage, while pressing for changes in the House or in eventual House-Senate negotiations.
"If this was the final bill, if this was going straight from the Senate floor to the Rose Garden signing ceremony, there would be full-throated opposition, but it's not. We still have another chamber to go through," said Angela Kelley, deputy director of the National Immigration Forum, which supports the bill.
And when it comes to enforcement, well, everyone can trust the Bush Administration to do the right thing, right?
What Senator Cornyn is referring to is a provision the bill which, frankly, we think there's been a fair amount of misunderstanding and mythology about. There is a provision -- what he's talking about is a provision that said that when the undocumented workers come in out of the shadows to register for a probationary card, that DHS should give the card to them in 24 hours. ...
That said, because that mythology exists and there are people concerned about it, there's an amendment that will be considered this week that removes the reference to the 24-hour -- and I think -- my understanding is that's expected to pass. So that, I think, unjustified concern will be taken off the table completely.
Unless the law states otherwise, the Bush Administration could create its own 24 hour rule as part of its enforcement plan even if Congress rejects it.
Executive discretion will decide a good many things Congress has neither the time or the energy to resolve. Trust will matter.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 11:02 PM|
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Last-Minute thoughts on Tuesday's cloture vote
National Review Online's "The Corner" has been running regular updates upon which I have relied for this overview.
What we are up against: President Bush has devoted four of his last eight Saturday Radio addresses to immigration, including the most recent one on June 23rd.
White House staff are stalking Senators on behalf of the Administration's number one legislative priority. Presidents tend to get what they want. That President Bush has yet to win on his immigration bill is a tribute to your tenacity and determination.
Why is this immigration bill still called a "grand bargain"?
Senator Richard Durbin told CQ on Friday: "The whole week has been spent on the conversation about family reunification and guest workers." The New York Times complained this morning that high-tech companies, who seek an increase in H1-B visas, have not been doing their part for the rest of the immigration bill.
This was the grand bargain in a nutshell: guestworkers, including highly skilled H1-Bs for one side, more family reunification and amnesty for the other side.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 7:28 PM|
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Over 150 people agree: "A vote for cloture is a vote for amnesty"
Over 150 people have signed a letter (.pdf) to Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell opposing cloture on the immigration bill (S.1639/S.1348).
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 6:51 PM|
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Sunday, June 24, 2007
Want the inside story on the amnesty bill? Bookmark these blogs.
Right Wing News.
Day In, Day Out.
"The Corner", National Review Online
(Hat tip: Mickey Kaus. His blog, Kausfiles, is also must reading on the amnesty bill.)
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 1:00 AM|
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What you can do to defeat the Senate amnesty bill (S.1639) this week
Note to readers of this blog: the following English First action alert was e-mailed on Saturday night, June 23rd. There is no charge for this service, as we seek to empower you to contact your elected Senators and Representatives in an informed and effective way.
If you would like to receive future English First action alerts directly via e-mail, you can sign up here.
Two Items: (1) Thank you. (2) Latest Senate targets on cloture re: amnesty bill (S.1639)
Your financial support would be of great help to the work of English First at this critical time. You can contribute to English First securely via your credit card here.
(1) Thank you.
Talk about getting the job done! I have heard from so many of you regarding signing onto the McConnell letter I mentioned on Friday that my team and I are still counting them.
I really enjoyed speaking with everyone who called me. I'll give you an update and a final count Monday. Your letter will be given to Senate Republican Leader McConnell on Tuesday morning.
(If you sent me an e-mail or called, you are a letter signer. Thank you. If you still want to get on, e-mail me at jbouletATenglishfirst.org (replace AT with @) before 4:00 PM Eastern time on Monday, June 25th.)
One thing is certain: our letter against the Senate immigration bill has more real signers than the pro-amnesty side could muster two weeks ago, when their press conference included several empty boxes where letters were supposed to be. "Security concerns," they claimed.
(2) Latest Senate targets:
(a) Good news: The new Senator from Wyoming, Dr. Barasso, is expected to be sworn in on Monday. He will probably follow the lead of his senior colleague, Enzi, who opposes amnesty.
(b) Via Mark Krikorian in National Review's "The Corner" last night:
There are 32 pretty solid No votes for cloture. If Senator Johnson of South Dakota remains in his sickbed, that is 33.
Our side needs eight of the following 12 senators who are leaning against the bill itself but so far are leaning toward the cloture motion ? which means, in reality, that they would be helping pass the amnesty, because if the bill comes to a final vote, it will pass.
There are 12 Senators whose decisions will likely determine whether the amnesty bill passes or not. You should wait until Monday morning after 9:30 AM to call or fax their offices, as the machines are turned off for the weekend.
Note: Senator Ensign runs the National Republican Senator Committee, so you all have a right to let him know how you feel even if you don't live in Nevada. The NRSC will be asking all of you for money, so communication should work both ways.
You still e-mail your Senators here: Http://capwiz.com/ef/issues/alert/?alertid=9890766&PROCESS=Take+Action
Please consider supplementing your e-mail with telephone calls and faxes. I am told that some (but hardly all) Senators are now ignoring e-mail
Bond (R-Mo.) 202-224-5721 phone 202-224-8149 fax
Bingaman (D-N.M.) 202-224-6621 phone 202-228-3261 fax
Burr (R-N.C.) 202-224-3154 phone 202-228-2981 fax
Boxer (D-Calif.) 202-224-3553 phone 916-448-2563
Cochran (R-Miss.) 202-224-5054 phone 202-224-9450 fax
Conrad (D-N.D.) 202-224-2043 phone 202-224-7776 fax
Ensign (R-Nev.) 202-224-6244 phone 202-228-2193 fax
Levin (D-Mich.) 202-224-6221 phone 202-224-1388 fax
Gregg (R-N.H.) 202-224-3324 202-224-4952
Nelson (D-Neb.) 202-224-6551 phone 202-228-0012 fax
Hatch (R-Utah) 202-224-5251 phone 202-224-6331 fax
Webb (D-Va.) 202- 224-4024 phone 202-228-6363 fax
Please be polite and respectful, but firm. I don't know why some Senators are refusing to listen to the overwhelming majority of the American people either, but it does no good to yell at the college kids answering the telephone.
You might say:
Dear Senator,
Please don't allow yourself to be misled by amnesty advocates. There is only one difference between a procedural vote on cloture for the amnesty bill (S.1639) and a substantive vote on the bill itself: The cloture vote is far more important, because amnesty advocates needs 60 votes to keep their bill alive.
If you vote for cloture on the amnesty bill, you are really voting FOR the amnesty bill, as far as I and many of my friends are concerned.
A piece of major legislation like this written by a few Senators behind closed doors is beneath the dignity of the Senate and an insult to every Senator excluded from the drafting process.
Thank you for your time and consideration of my views.
Respectfully,
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 12:03 AM|
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Thursday, June 21, 2007
"The game is afoot"
The President of the United States does not have to twist arms to achieve his policy goals. He has plenty of carrots, like invitations to White House gala events, which come with their own built-in stick: cross me and you won't be invited back.
Even if a Congressman is indifferent regarding such invitations, his wife is not, since there are few fringe benefits to being a politician's wife in Washington, D.C.
An invitation to a State Dinner means not only seeing your name in the "Style" section of the Washington Post but knowing all your friends saw your name too.
Back in the days when individuals could obtain White House tours, one would see women limping away from the White House because dignity demanded that they wear high heels for what amounted to a two-mile walk.
This week President Bush has held two events during which he did not mention immigration, but could silently remind attendees of the benefits of being a team player.
The White House Congressional picnic was held Tuesday. On Wednesday, the President gathered a group of conservatives at the White House to watch him veto a stem cell bill.
Invitations to the veto ceremony were sent out just 48 hours in advance. At least one Senator known to be undecided on cloture on immigration was present.
The White House showcased another carrot with its announcement that former Republican Congressman Jim Nussle would be nominated to be the new head of the Office of Management and Budget.
A stint at OMB would make Nussle, who lost a race for governor of Iowa last year, far better off than his fellow Republican Congressmen who also lost in 2006.
The Nussle nomination was a reminder to every Senator and Congressman that the White House retains the power to create a soft landing for those it deems loyal Republicans.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 5:45 PM|
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Latest immigration bill news and target list (June 21, 2007)
Our latest update and alert on the Senate immigration bill is now available here.
|posted by Jim Boulet, Jr. on 5:03 PM|
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